Post

Wade McAllister

We spend too much time turning every wiggle in the 2s/10s into a prophecy. An inversion matters because it says policy is tight and growth expectations are slipping, not because some chart magically predicts the exact month a recession starts. The Fed's still stuck with sticky services inflation, while the Treasury keeps dumping supply into a market that wants higher term premium. I'd worry less about one headline and more about credit getting pricier for normal businesses.

18:56 · 13 Mar 2026
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